ARCH ives Modules

8th Summer Institute in Statistics and Modeling in Infectious Diseases

Module 9: Simulation-based Inference for Epidemiological Dynamics

Week 2, Session 3, Monday 8:30 AM - Wednesday 12:00 PM: Mon Jul 18 to Wed Jul 20

This module introduces statistical inference techniques and computational methods for dynamic models of epidemiological systems. The course will explore deterministic and stochastic formulations of epidemiological dynamics and develop inference methods appropriate for a range of models. Special emphasis will be on exact and approximate likelihood as the key elements in parameter estimation, hypothesis testing, and model selection. Specifically, the course will cover sequential Monte Carlo and synthetic likelihood techniques. Students will learn to implement these in R to carry out maximum likelihood and Bayesian inference. Knowledge of the material in Module 1 is assumed. Students new to R should complete a tutorial before the module.