9th Summer Institute in Statistics and Modeling in Infectious Diseases

Module 7: FULL Simulation-based Inference for Epidemiological Dynamics

Week 1, Session 2, Wednesday 1:30 PM - Friday 5:00 PM: Wed Jul 12 to Fri Jul 14

Contact nelsod6@uw.edu for space availability.

Knowledge of the material in Module 1: Probability and Statistical Inference is assumed. Students new to R should complete a tutorial before the module.

This module introduces statistical inference techniques and computational methods for dynamic models of epidemiological systems. The course will explore deterministic and stochastic formulations of epidemiological dynamics and develop inference methods appropriate for a range of models. Special emphasis will be on exact and approximate likelihood as the key elements in parameter estimation, hypothesis testing, and model selection. Specifically, the course will cover sequential Monte Carlo, iterated filtering, and model criticism techniques. Students will learn to implement these in R to carry out maximum likelihood and Bayesian inference.